FINNENCE ▪ THE WIRE FILE
THE WIRE · № 76839
News▲ Bullish
Pasquariello: "since the dead lows of March 2009, S&P is up 16-fold (total returns). Along that path, there has been exactly one recession, and it lasted about two months" 2 months of recession in 16 years. Probably normal.
KINDNews
DIRECTION▲ Bullish
SOURCES1
ENTITIES3
STORY SIZESTANDALONE
FIRST SEEN
LAST UPDATE
STATEactive
01 THE MACHINE READ
WHY IT MATTERS.
Observation that long bull runs feature few recessions; supports staying invested but is backward-looking.
Backward-looking bull case for equities
CATALYST TO WATCH
Any actual recession signal
MAIN RISK
Past performance does not predict future
FULL DISPATCH
Pasquariello: "since the dead lows of March 2009, S&P is up 16-fold (total returns). Along that path, there has been exactly one recession, and it lasted about two months" 2 months of recession in 16 years. Probably normal.
02 THE STORY SO FAR
THE RECORD, IN ORDER.
STANDALONE ITEM — NOT YET FOLDED INTO A DEVELOPING STORY.
03 WHO'S INVOLVED
ENTITIES ON FILE.
04 RECEIPTS
THE SOURCE RECORD.
1 SOURCES CONFIRMED05 PROPAGATION
WHAT THIS TOUCHES.
→CORRELATIONshares Recession
Iran war pushes Middle East towards recession as IMF warns of economic slump2026-10-13 03:03 UTC
Iran war pushes Middle East towards recession as IMF warns of economic slump2026-10-13 03:03 UTC
←CORRELATIONshares ^GSPC, SPY
The bull market turned 4 years old on Monday. Investors say reaching a fifth birthday could be challenging2026-10-12 18:18 UTC
The bull market turned 4 years old on Monday. Investors say reaching a fifth birthday could be challenging2026-10-12 18:18 UTC
←CORRELATIONshares Recession
BREAKING: US private fixed investment in information processing equipment and software is now up to a record 5.05% of US GDP. This figure has increased +1.08 percentage points since Q3 2023. Over this period, these investments have surged +$531 billion, to a record annual rate2026-10-12 19:04 UTC
BREAKING: US private fixed investment in information processing equipment and software is now up to a record 5.05% of US GDP. This figure has increased +1.08 percentage points since Q3 2023. Over this period, these investments have surged +$531 billion, to a record annual rate2026-10-12 19:04 UTC
←CORRELATIONshares ^GSPC
Market Close: Stocks Mixed, Subscription Muse Assistant, October Surprise Watch • 10/12/262026-10-12 20:32 UTC
Market Close: Stocks Mixed, Subscription Muse Assistant, October Surprise Watch • 10/12/262026-10-12 20:32 UTC
←CORRELATIONshares ^GSPC
The US stock market has never been this fragmented: The 52-week correlation between the equal-weighted S&P 500 and the S&P 500 index is down to 0.67, its lowest level on record. This measures how closely the performance of the equal-weighted S&P 500 tracks the cap-weighted inde2026-10-12 20:59 UTC
The US stock market has never been this fragmented: The 52-week correlation between the equal-weighted S&P 500 and the S&P 500 index is down to 0.67, its lowest level on record. This measures how closely the performance of the equal-weighted S&P 500 tracks the cap-weighted inde2026-10-12 20:59 UTC
KEEP READING THE MACHINE
Summaries are generated and may contain errors — every claim links its sources.