FINNENCE ▪ THE WIRE FILE
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The U.S. economy hasn’t had a recession in 78 months. That’s the 6th-longest expansion since 1854, based on NBER data, and nearly double the long-term average of about 41 months. The all-time record is 128 months, from 2009 to 2020. If this run lasts until early 2031, it will
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DIRECTION■ Mixed
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LAST UPDATE
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01 THE MACHINE READ
WHY IT MATTERS.
THE MACHINE IS STILL READING THIS ITEM — ANALYSIS LANDS WITHIN MINUTES OF INGESTION.
FULL DISPATCH
The U.S. economy hasn’t had a recession in 78 months. That’s the 6th-longest expansion since 1854, based on NBER data, and nearly double the long-term average of about 41 months. The all-time record is 128 months, from 2009 to 2020. If this run lasts until early 2031, it will take the crown.
02 THE STORY SO FAR
THE RECORD, IN ORDER.
STANDALONE ITEM — NOT YET FOLDED INTO A DEVELOPING STORY.
03 WHO'S INVOLVED
ENTITIES ON FILE.
CONTEXTRecession
04 RECEIPTS
THE SOURCE RECORD.
1 SOURCES CONFIRMED05 PROPAGATION
WHAT THIS TOUCHES.
→CORRELATIONshares Recession
U.S. consumer confidence just fell to its lowest level since 2014, per The Conference Board. The expectations index sits near 60, well below 80, the level The Conference Board says has historically signaled a recession ahead.2026-10-17 19:01 UTC
U.S. consumer confidence just fell to its lowest level since 2014, per The Conference Board. The expectations index sits near 60, well below 80, the level The Conference Board says has historically signaled a recession ahead.2026-10-17 19:01 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Recession
The Big Four Recession Indicators: Industrial Production2026-10-18 03:56 UTC
The Big Four Recession Indicators: Industrial Production2026-10-18 03:56 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Recession
People may struggle to find jobs even outside a recession, Eric Basmajian notes2026-10-17 15:55 UTC
People may struggle to find jobs even outside a recession, Eric Basmajian notes2026-10-17 15:55 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Recession
The risk Larry Fink says could push America into recession2026-10-18 12:38 UTC
The risk Larry Fink says could push America into recession2026-10-18 12:38 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Recession
Top-Ranked Economist and Futurist Jason Schenker Authors New #1 Amazon Bestseller, Recession-Proof After AI2026-10-18 17:59 UTC
Top-Ranked Economist and Futurist Jason Schenker Authors New #1 Amazon Bestseller, Recession-Proof After AI2026-10-18 17:59 UTC
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Summaries are generated and may contain errors — every claim links its sources.