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THE WIRE · № 80455

Video▼ Bearish

Last week the Fed was cutting. This week it might hike.

Last week the Fed was cutting. This week it might hike.
EXHIBIT · i3.ytimg.com
KINDVideo
DIRECTION▼ Bearish
SOURCES1
ENTITIES3
STORY SIZESTANDALONE
FIRST SEEN
LAST UPDATE
STATEactive

01 THE MACHINE READ

WHY IT MATTERS.

CPI at 3.7% headline and 2.6% core, with gasoline driving half, flips Fed expectations from cuts to possible hikes.

Inflation reacceleration reverses the rate-cut narrative
CATALYST TO WATCH

Fed meeting and core CPI trend

MAIN RISK

Gasoline-driven spike may prove transitory

FULL DISPATCH

September CPI ran hot. Headline inflation hit 3.7% year over year, up from 3.4%, and core reached 2.6%, the fastest since June. Gasoline alone drove more than half the monthly increase. Rate-hike odds for this month's meeting jumped within hours. Scott Melker's point is that a week ago the same mar

02 THE STORY SO FAR

THE RECORD, IN ORDER.

STANDALONE ITEM — NOT YET FOLDED INTO A DEVELOPING STORY.

03 WHO'S INVOLVED

ENTITIES ON FILE.

CONTEXTFederal Reserve
CONTEXTInflation
AFFECTEDInterest Rates

04 RECEIPTS

THE SOURCE RECORD.

1 SOURCES CONFIRMED
№ 01youtubeyoutube.com · PRIMARY2026-10-14 17:08 UTCOPEN RECEIPT →

05 PROPAGATION

WHAT THIS TOUCHES.

→CORRELATIONshares Inflation
Stocks fall, dollar rallies as US inflation tops forecasts
2026-10-14 01:53 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Federal Reserve
Natixis Economist Sees One More Fed Rate Hike
2026-10-14 13:58 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Inflation
US stocks fall as rate hike bets rise following inflation data
2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Inflation
September CPI: Inflation Momentum Turns In The Wrong Direction (NDX)
2026-10-14 15:30 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Federal Reserve
Hot CPI ‘far enough from consensus’ to put October Fed hike back in play
2026-10-14 15:49 UTC

KEEP READING THE MACHINE

OPEN THE MACHINE →THE PREDICTION LEDGER →

Summaries are generated and may contain errors — every claim links its sources.