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The global debt crisis is set to get even worse: The US fiscal deficit is projected to widen to -6.1% of GDP in 2027, its largest since 2012, excluding the pandemic years of 2020 and 2021. This will be the biggest deficit as a % of GDP among the 5 major developed economies, inc

The global debt crisis is set to get even worse: The US fiscal deficit is projected to widen to -6.1% of GDP in 2027,…
EXHIBIT · t.co
KINDNews
DIRECTION▼ Bearish
SOURCES4
ENTITIES3
STORY SIZE8 RECORDS
FIRST SEEN
LAST UPDATE
STATEactive

01 THE MACHINE READ

WHY IT MATTERS.

A widening US deficit to 6.1% of GDP in 2027 implies heavier Treasury issuance, pressuring long-end yields and the dollar over time.

US deficit widens, pressuring long-end Treasuries
CATALYST TO WATCH

Deficit projections or auction demand

MAIN RISK

Weak auction demand could spike yields

FULL DISPATCH

The global debt crisis is set to get even worse: The US fiscal deficit is projected to widen to -6.1% of GDP in 2027, its largest since 2012, excluding the pandemic years of 2020 and 2021. This will be the biggest deficit as a % of GDP among the 5 major developed economies, including the UK, Germany, France, and Japan. Furthermore, Germany's deficit is expected to widen from -2.7% of GDP in 2025 to -4.1% in 2027, its largest since 2010, excluding the 2020 pandemic. Japan's fiscal deficit is estimated to more than triple, from -0.7% to -2.5% of GDP, its largest since 2022. The UK is the only economy expected to improve its fiscal position, with its deficit narrowing from -4.3% in 2025, to -3.1% of GDP next year, while France's budget gap is projected to widen to -5.2%. Deficit spending is only accelerating.

02 THE STORY SO FAR

THE RECORD, IN ORDER.

UPDATED 8 TIMES · FIRST · LAST
2026-10-13 23:08 UTCNewsThe global debt crisis is set to get even worse: The US fiscal deficit is projected to widen to -6.1% of GDP in 2027, its largest since 2012, excluding the pandemic years of 2020 and 2021. This will be the biggest deficit as a % of GDP among the 5 major developed economies, incCURRENT RECORD
2026-10-13 23:55 UTCNewsJapan's Nominal GDP to Slip to 6th Place Globally in 2027, Overtaken by India and UK: IMF Estimates
2026-10-14 05:00 UTCGeopoliticsIMF Warns: Act Now to Cut Debt as Public Debt Reaches WWII-Era 100% of GDP
2026-10-14 05:39 UTCNewsIndia, Britain to Pass Japan in GDP Rankings in 2027, IMF Says
2026-10-14 05:50 UTCNewsJapan's GDP Ranking Slips to 6th Behind India and UK
2026-10-14 07:33 UTCGeopoliticsIMF Warns Global Debt to Hit 100% of GDP by 2029
2026-10-14 08:53 UTCNewsScott Bessent's growth plans aren't enough to tame surging deficit and debt pile, IMF chief says
2026-10-14 10:07 UTCGeopoliticsPublic Debt Nears 100% Of GDP, Its Highest Since World War II, IMF Warns

03 WHO'S INVOLVED

ENTITIES ON FILE.

AFFECTEDDollar
CONTEXTJapan
AFFECTEDTreasury Bonds

04 RECEIPTS

THE SOURCE RECORD.

1 SOURCES CONFIRMED
№ 01xx.com · PRIMARY2026-10-13 23:08 UTCOPEN RECEIPT →

05 PROPAGATION

WHAT THIS TOUCHES.

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Summaries are generated and may contain errors — every claim links its sources.