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The global debt crisis is set to get even worse: The US fiscal deficit is projected to widen to -6.1% of GDP in 2027, its largest since 2012, excluding the pandemic years of 2020 and 2021. This will be the biggest deficit as a % of GDP among the 5 major developed economies, inc

The global debt crisis is set to get even worse: The US fiscal deficit is projected to widen to -6.1% of GDP in 2027,…
EXHIBIT · t.co
KINDNews
DIRECTION▼ Bearish
SOURCES4
ENTITIES3
STORY SIZE7 RECORDS
FIRST SEEN
LAST UPDATE
STATEactive

01 THE MACHINE READ

WHY IT MATTERS.

A widening US deficit to 6.1% of GDP in 2027 implies heavier Treasury issuance, pressuring long-end yields and the dollar over time.

US deficit widens, pressuring long-end Treasuries
CATALYST TO WATCH

Deficit projections or auction demand

MAIN RISK

Weak auction demand could spike yields

FULL DISPATCH

The global debt crisis is set to get even worse: The US fiscal deficit is projected to widen to -6.1% of GDP in 2027, its largest since 2012, excluding the pandemic years of 2020 and 2021. This will be the biggest deficit as a % of GDP among the 5 major developed economies, including the UK, Germany, France, and Japan. Furthermore, Germany's deficit is expected to widen from -2.7% of GDP in 2025 to -4.1% in 2027, its largest since 2010, excluding the 2020 pandemic. Japan's fiscal deficit is estimated to more than triple, from -0.7% to -2.5% of GDP, its largest since 2022. The UK is the only economy expected to improve its fiscal position, with its deficit narrowing from -4.3% in 2025, to -3.1% of GDP next year, while France's budget gap is projected to widen to -5.2%. Deficit spending is only accelerating.

02 THE STORY SO FAR

THE RECORD, IN ORDER.

UPDATED 7 TIMES · FIRST · LAST
2026-10-13 23:08 UTCNewsThe global debt crisis is set to get even worse: The US fiscal deficit is projected to widen to -6.1% of GDP in 2027, its largest since 2012, excluding the pandemic years of 2020 and 2021. This will be the biggest deficit as a % of GDP among the 5 major developed economies, incCURRENT RECORD
2026-10-13 23:55 UTCNewsJapan's Nominal GDP to Slip to 6th Place Globally in 2027, Overtaken by India and UK: IMF Estimates
2026-10-14 05:00 UTCGeopoliticsIMF Warns: Act Now to Cut Debt as Public Debt Reaches WWII-Era 100% of GDP
2026-10-14 05:39 UTCNewsIndia, Britain to Pass Japan in GDP Rankings in 2027, IMF Says
2026-10-14 05:50 UTCNewsJapan's GDP Ranking Slips to 6th Behind India and UK
2026-10-14 07:33 UTCGeopoliticsIMF Warns Global Debt to Hit 100% of GDP by 2029
2026-10-14 08:53 UTCNewsScott Bessent's growth plans aren't enough to tame surging deficit and debt pile, IMF chief says

03 WHO'S INVOLVED

ENTITIES ON FILE.

AFFECTEDDollar
CONTEXTJapan
AFFECTEDTreasury Bonds

04 RECEIPTS

THE SOURCE RECORD.

1 SOURCES CONFIRMED
№ 01xx.com · PRIMARY2026-10-13 23:08 UTCOPEN RECEIPT →

05 PROPAGATION

WHAT THIS TOUCHES.

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Summaries are generated and may contain errors — every claim links its sources.