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๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท Larry Johnson: The U.S. is preparing for another war, but may not be ready to fight it Something strange is happening in the skies over the Middle East. U.S. refueling aircraft are reportedly moving in numbers reminiscent of the buildup before the last war with Iran. Israe
01 THE MACHINE READ
WHY IT MATTERS.
Reported US refueling-aircraft buildup near Iran raises the odds of Middle East escalation, which typically lifts crude risk premia.
Middle East war chatter keeps an oil risk premium alive
Confirmed military movements or Iranian response
Commentary may overstate actual military posture
FULL DISPATCH
๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท Larry Johnson: The U.S. is preparing for another war, but may not be ready to fight it Something strange is happening in the skies over the Middle East. U.S. refueling aircraft are reportedly moving in numbers reminiscent of the buildup before the last war with Iran. Israeli fighter jets have also reportedly been active near Syrian and Iraqi airspace. So we asked former CIA analyst Larry Johnson whether we're watching the preparations for another attack. His answer surprised us. Johnson thinks renewed strikes are entirely possible, but says the U.S. military isn't showing the level of command mobilization he'd expect before a sustained campaign. And he sees a much bigger problem: America may no longer have the weapons stockpiles to fight the kind of war its leaders are contemplating. Iran, meanwhile, has had months to rebuild its defenses, expand its underground missile capabilities and prepare for another confrontation. Johnson believes even a short American bombing campaign could accomplish very little while inviting a far more damaging Iranian response. That's what's worrying about this buildup. Washington might still have the ability to start another war with Iran. But starting one and controlling what happens afterward are two very different things. @WeTheBrandon @NewSonof
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