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News▼ Bearish

Short-Term Inflation Expectations Reach Three-Year High, NY Fed Survey Says

KINDNews
DIRECTION▼ Bearish
SOURCES7
ENTITIES3
STORY SIZE7 RECORDS
FIRST SEEN2026-10-07 15:01 UTC
LAST UPDATE2026-10-07 18:33 UTC
STATEactive

01 THE MACHINE READ

WHY IT MATTERS.

Three-year-high short-term inflation expectations argue against near-term easing, pressuring duration and rate-sensitive assets.

Inflation expectations high, complicating rate-cut path
CATALYST TO WATCH

FOMC minutes and CPI prints

MAIN RISK

Expectations may keep drifting higher

02 THE STORY SO FAR

THE RECORD, IN ORDER.

UPDATED 7 TIMES · FIRST 2026-10-07 15:01 UTC · LAST 2026-10-07 18:33 UTC
2026-10-07 15:01 UTCNewsShort-Term Inflation Expectations Reach Three-Year High, NY Fed Survey SaysCURRENT RECORD
2026-10-07 15:24 UTCNewsNew York Fed survey shows near term U.S. inflation expectati
2026-10-07 15:43 UTCNewsOdds of October Fed rate hike drop sharply from 51% to 19% after weak jobs data.
2026-10-07 15:51 UTCNewsNY Fed Survey: September Inflation Expectations Climb to 3.9%, Highest in Over Three Years
2026-10-07 16:19 UTCNewsTariffs can keep pushing up goods prices for a year, NY Fed finds
2026-10-07 16:30 UTCNewsAmericans' inflation expectations rose to a 3-year high in September, NY Fed says
2026-10-07 18:33 UTCNewsFed Minutes Reveal Split on September Rate Hike

03 WHO'S INVOLVED

ENTITIES ON FILE.

CONTEXTFederal Reserve
CONTEXTInflation

04 RECEIPTS

THE SOURCE RECORD.

1 SOURCES CONFIRMED
№ 01googlenewsnews.google.com · PRIMARY2026-10-07 15:01 UTCOPEN RECEIPT →

05 PROPAGATION

WHAT THIS TOUCHES.

→CORRELATIONshares Inflation, Federal Reserve, TIP
New York Fed Says US 1-Year Inflation Expectations Rise to 3.9%, Highest Since May 2023 - bloomingbit
2026-10-07 15:16 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Federal Reserve
Fed Rate Hike Odds for October Plunge to 20% as Market Awaits FOMC Minutes
2026-10-07 15:25 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Federal Reserve
Odds of October Fed rate hike drop sharply from 51% to 19% after weak jobs data.
2026-10-07 15:43 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Inflation
Car Repair Costs Have Climbed Twice as Fast as Inflation. Software Is Why.
2026-10-07 15:45 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Inflation, Federal Reserve
US consumer inflation expectations hit highest since May 2023
2026-10-07 15:53 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Inflation
Sharp increase in CPI likely temporary: DGBAS
2026-10-07 16:00 UTC

KEEP READING THE MACHINE

OPEN THE MACHINE →THE PREDICTION LEDGER →

Summaries are generated and may contain errors — every claim links its sources.