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THE WIRE · № 59073

News■ Mixed

Williams Says the Fed Has Time. October Rate Hike Odds Fell Below a Coin Flip

KINDNews
DIRECTION■ Mixed
SOURCES1
ENTITIES2
STORY SIZESTANDALONE
FIRST SEEN2026-09-30 20:00 UTC
LAST UPDATE2026-09-30 20:00 UTC
STATEactive

01 THE MACHINE READ

WHY IT MATTERS.

Falling odds of an October hike reduce near-term rate risk but leave policy path uncertain.

October hike odds fall below coin flip
CATALYST TO WATCH

Fed speakers and inflation data

MAIN RISK

Hawkish data reviving hike odds

02 THE STORY SO FAR

THE RECORD, IN ORDER.

STANDALONE ITEM — NOT YET FOLDED INTO A DEVELOPING STORY.

03 WHO'S INVOLVED

ENTITIES ON FILE.

CONTEXTFederal Reserve
AFFECTEDInterest Rates

04 RECEIPTS

THE SOURCE RECORD.

1 SOURCES CONFIRMED
№ 01googlenewsnews.google.com · PRIMARY2026-09-30 20:00 UTCOPEN RECEIPT →

05 PROPAGATION

WHAT THIS TOUCHES.

→CORRELATIONshares Interest Rates
ECB’s Schnabel Says Coming Months to Clarify Rate-Hike Path
2026-09-30 15:45 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Federal Reserve
Watch UMich’s Stevenson on Fed Report, Inflation Reading
2026-09-30 21:29 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Interest Rates
Morning Bid: Inflation relief gives bonds little reprieve
2026-10-01 04:33 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Federal Reserve, Interest Rates
Elizabeth Warren Blames Trump's 'Failed' Policies for Fed Rate Hike
2026-10-01 04:36 UTC
→CORRELATIONshares Federal Reserve
Gold inches higher as softer US inflation dims October Fed hike bets
2026-10-01 04:48 UTC

KEEP READING THE MACHINE

OPEN THE MACHINE →THE PREDICTION LEDGER →

Summaries are generated and may contain errors — every claim links its sources.