🇮🇱🇮🇷 One source in Israeli military intelligence says an attack before the election is unlikely, for a plain reason: Israel's enemies don't want to help Netanyahu win Shaiel Ben-Ephraim is an Israeli analyst with sources inside the system, and one in military intelligence told h

🇮🇱🇮🇷 One source in Israeli military intelligence says an attack before the election is unlikely, for a plain reason: Israel's enemies don't want to help Netanyahu win Shaiel Ben-Ephraim is an Israeli analyst with sources inside the system, and one in military intelligence told him the estimate is that nobody who wants to hit Israel wants to throw this coalition a lifeline. The prime minister's attack warning drew leaks within hours saying no specific threat exists. On the airliner, early reporting ran from a mental health episode to a quarrel between a Russian and a Ukrainian, then the defense minister called it a jihadist attack and an unnamed official told Reuters the suspect was Omani, with no evidence yet. From what Shaiel understands, the IDF doesn't find that story convincing. The security chiefs who used to argue with Netanyahu were fired after October 7 and replaced with men who don't. His read is that this week's pushback comes from people in the apparatus who would rather see him replaced. The newest poll gives his bloc a 2-seat lead anyway. @academic_la @WeTheBrandon