There’s a new Wall Street TACO index — and this one is saying it’s time for Trump to strike a deal

1 SOURCE CONFIRMED · FIRST SEEN 2026-09-30 09:16 UTC

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FIRST SEEN2026-09-30 09:16 UTC

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01 THE MACHINE READ

WHY IT MATTERS.

A JPMorgan 'TACO' barometer is a novelty sentiment gauge on Trump policy behavior, not a fundamental driver.

Novelty political barometer, limited trading signal

CATALYST TO WATCH

Trump policy decisions on tariffs or trade

MAIN RISK

Gimmick index with weak predictive value

FULL DISPATCH

JPMorgan has devised a TACO barometer, referring to the expression Trump Always Chickens Out ,as a way to predict the behavior of the mercurial world leader.

02 THE STORY SO FAR

THE RECORD, IN ORDER.

STANDALONE ITEM — NOT YET FOLDED INTO A DEVELOPING STORY.

03 WHO'S INVOLVED

ENTITIES ON FILE.

NO ENTITY LINKS AT DISPLAY CONFIDENCE YET.

04 RECEIPTS

THE SOURCE RECORD.

1 SOURCES CONFIRMED

№ 01marketwatchmarketwatch.com · PRIMARY2026-09-30 09:16 UTCOPEN RECEIPT →

05 PROPAGATION

WHAT THIS TOUCHES.

NO LINKED INTELLIGENCE YET.

KEEP READING THE MACHINE

OPEN THE MACHINE →THE PREDICTION LEDGER →

Summaries are generated and may contain errors — every claim links its sources.