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Commodity · ■ Mixed · 1 source confirmed · 2026-09-27 20:56 UTC

Lula's mixed environmental record has brought less deforestation but more oil

Why now

Thesis: Brazil walks a supply-versus-climate tightrope

Catalyst to watch: Petrobras licensing or Amazon enforcement decisions

Main risk: Environmental rollback could invite sanctions or divestment

Why it matters

Brazil's balancing of deforestation curbs against oil expansion affects long-run crude supply and ESG positioning of Brazilian energy assets.

Related assets & topics

OilEmerging MarketsGeopolitics

Sources

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