36 DAYS TO MIDTERMS: DEMOCRATS HIT NEW 2026 HIGH With just 36 days until the Nov. 3 midterms, Kalshi’s American Power Index has swung sharply toward Democrats. USAGov Democrats now lead at +3.8 — their strongest level shown on the 2026 chart — after a dramatic September surge.
Why now
Thesis: Midterm polling shift alters policy outlook
Catalyst to watch: Election results on Nov. 3
Main risk: Polling leads often fail to hold
Why it matters
A Democratic midterm lead could shift expectations for policy gridlock or spending, but the market transmission is indirect and speculative.
Details
36 DAYS TO MIDTERMS: DEMOCRATS HIT NEW 2026 HIGH With just 36 days until the Nov. 3 midterms, Kalshi’s American Power Index has swung sharply toward Democrats. USAGov Democrats now lead at +3.8 — their strongest level shown on the 2026 chart — after a dramatic September surge. https://t.co/S6iHw6wg0k
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- x · 2026-09-28 16:54 UTC