JUST IN: There is now a 64% chance Democrats sweep the midterms, per Polymarket.com. That's up from around 40% in July, with the gap widening every month since. https://t.co/4KMWgzJO9C
Why now
Thesis: Midterm odds shift policy expectations
Catalyst to watch: Polling and prediction-market moves
Main risk: Odds can reverse before election
Why it matters
Rising Democratic sweep odds shift expectations for policy, taxes, and sector regulation.
Details
JUST IN: There is now a 64% chance Democrats sweep the midterms, per Polymarket.com. That's up from around 40% in July, with the gap widening every month since. https://t.co/4KMWgzJO9C
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- x · 2026-09-27 01:48 UTC