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News · ▼ Bearish · 1 source confirmed · 2026-09-25 19:43 UTC

EBRD lowers its forecast for Ukraine's GDP growth from 2.2% to 1.5% in 2026

Why now

Thesis: EBRD trims Ukraine growth on war drag

Catalyst to watch: Ceasefire progress or new aid packages

Main risk: Forecast could be cut further if war persists

Why it matters

A cut to Ukraine's 2026 growth forecast reflects war-driven economic damage and reconstruction risk.

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Sources

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