BREAKING: Market expectations for an October interest rate hike are now up to a 64% chance. The 10Y Note Yield is up +17 basis points today. 7.5%+ mortgages are on their way. https://t.co/syV6ec5h4M
Why now
Thesis: Rising hike odds lift yields and mortgage costs
Catalyst to watch: October Fed decision and inflation data
Main risk: Hike odds could fade on weak data
Why it matters
Rising odds of a Fed hike and a 17bp yield jump raise borrowing costs, pressuring rate-sensitive assets.
Details
BREAKING: Market expectations for an October interest rate hike are now up to a 64% chance. The 10Y Note Yield is up +17 basis points today. 7.5%+ mortgages are on their way. https://t.co/syV6ec5h4M
Related assets & topics
HousingInterest RatesSources
- x · 2026-09-23 20:18 UTC