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News · ▼ Bearish · 1 source confirmed · 2026-09-18 09:54 UTC

JP MORGAN EXPECTS ECB TO DELIVER ANOTHER 25 BP INTEREST RATE HIKE IN MARCH 2027 AFTER A DECEMBER HIKE VS PRIOR FORECAST OF RATES ON HOLD IN 2027

Why now

Thesis: ECB hike forecast implies higher-for-longer European rates

Catalyst to watch: ECB meeting or inflation data

Main risk: Forecast reversal if growth weakens

Why it matters

A forecast of ECB hikes in 2027 implies higher-for-longer European rates, pressuring duration-sensitive assets and supporting the euro versus the dollar.

Details

JP MORGAN EXPECTS ECB TO DELIVER ANOTHER 25 BP INTEREST RATE HIKE IN MARCH 2027 AFTER A DECEMBER HIKE VS PRIOR FORECAST OF RATES ON HOLD IN 2027

Related assets & topics

BP · BPInterest RatesEurope

Sources

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