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News · ▼ Bearish · 1 source confirmed · 2026-09-16 18:22 UTC

Soaring bond yields, gaping deficits and towering debts: what could go wrong?

Why now

Thesis: Rising yields with widening deficits raise fiscal-dominance shock risk.

Catalyst to watch: Worsening deficits and debt loads.

Main risk: Term-premium or fiscal-dominance shock.

Why it matters

Rising yields alongside widening deficits and debt loads raise the risk of a fiscal-dominance or term-premium shock.

Related assets & topics

Treasury Bonds20Y+ Treasury ETF · TLTCredit

Sources

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